February Deserves Its Bearish Reputation

February has been a particularly troublesome month in stocks since 1999. It has been a down month in eight of those 13 years, with an average decline of 4.3% in the down years. But even that doesn?t tell the whole story. Obviously, a decline doesn?t start on the first day of February and end on the last day of the month each year. So even in years when February was an up-month it was still often involved in a period of market trouble. For example, February was a positive month in each of the last two years, with the S&P 500 up 3.1% for February in 2010, and up 3.4% in 2011. However, in 2010 the weakness came early, a 3-week market correction of 7.9% beginning January 19 and ending February 8. Last year the weakness arrived late, with a four-week 6.2% correction beginning February 18 and ending March 16.

Source: http://www.forbes.com/sites/greatspeculations/2012/02/10/february-deserves-its-bearish-reputation/

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